Correlation Between Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100 at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100 into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Nasdaq 100 Profunds and Short Nasdaq 100 Profund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100 and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Nasdaq with a short position of Short Nasdaq-100. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100

-0.85
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Short is -0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Nasdaq 100 Profunds and Short Nasdaq 100 Profund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Short Nasdaq 100 and Ultra Nasdaq is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Nasdaq 100 Profunds are associated (or correlated) with Short Nasdaq-100. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Short Nasdaq 100 has no effect on the direction of Ultra Nasdaq i.e., Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100 go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra Nasdaq is expected to generate 1.77 times less return on investment than Short Nasdaq-100. In addition to that, Ultra Nasdaq is 2.0 times more volatile than Short Nasdaq 100 Profund. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Short Nasdaq 100 Profund is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,464  in Short Nasdaq 100 Profund on December 10, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  26.00  from holding Short Nasdaq 100 Profund or generate 0.58% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Nasdaq 100 Profunds  vs.  Short Nasdaq 100 Profund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Nasdaq 100 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ultra Nasdaq 100 Profunds has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.
Short Nasdaq 100 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Short Nasdaq 100 Profund are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Short Nasdaq-100 may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100 Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Nasdaq and Short Nasdaq-100 positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Nasdaq position performs unexpectedly, Short Nasdaq-100 can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Short Nasdaq-100 will offset losses from the drop in Short Nasdaq-100's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Nasdaq 100 Profunds and Short Nasdaq 100 Profund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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