Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and Vanguard

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and Vanguard at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and Vanguard into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra Euro and Vanguard SP 500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and Vanguard and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of Vanguard. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and Vanguard.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and Vanguard

-0.76
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Vanguard is -0.76. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra Euro and Vanguard SP 500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard SP 500 and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra Euro are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard SP 500 has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and Vanguard go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and Vanguard

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra Euro is expected to under-perform the Vanguard. In addition to that, ProShares Ultra is 1.35 times more volatile than Vanguard SP 500. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard SP 500 is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  51,643  in Vanguard SP 500 on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,412  from holding Vanguard SP 500 or generate 6.61% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra Euro  vs.  Vanguard SP 500

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra Euro 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra Euro has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Etf's essential indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the fund shareholders.
Vanguard SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very inconsistent basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

ProShares Ultra and Vanguard Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and Vanguard

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and Vanguard positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra Euro and Vanguard SP 500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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