Correlation Between Intermediate Term and Government Securities

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate Term and Government Securities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate Term and Government Securities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Bond Fund and Government Securities Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate Term and Government Securities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate Term with a short position of Government Securities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate Term and Government Securities.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate Term and Government Securities

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate and Government is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Bond Fund and Government Securities Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Securities and Intermediate Term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with Government Securities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Intermediate Term i.e., Intermediate Term and Government Securities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate Term and Government Securities

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Term Bond Fund is expected to generate 1.12 times more return on investment than Government Securities. However, Intermediate Term is 1.12 times more volatile than Government Securities Fund. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Government Securities Fund is currently generating about 0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  853.00  in Intermediate Term Bond Fund on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  56.00  from holding Intermediate Term Bond Fund or generate 6.57% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Bond Fund  vs.  Government Securities Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Intermediate Term Bond Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Intermediate Term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Government Securities 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Securities Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate Term and Government Securities Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate Term and Government Securities

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate Term and Government Securities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate Term position performs unexpectedly, Government Securities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Securities will offset losses from the drop in Government Securities' long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Bond Fund and Government Securities Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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