Correlation Between Emerging Markets and Government Securities

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Emerging Markets and Government Securities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Emerging Markets and Government Securities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Emerging Markets Fund and Government Securities Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Emerging Markets and Government Securities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Emerging Markets with a short position of Government Securities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Emerging Markets and Government Securities.

Diversification Opportunities for Emerging Markets and Government Securities

0.65

Correlation Coefficient

Emerging Markets  Government Securities

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Emerging and Government is 0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Emerging Markets Fund and Government Securities Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Securities and Emerging Markets is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Emerging Markets Fund are associated (or correlated) with Government Securities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Emerging Markets i.e., Emerging Markets and Government Securities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Emerging Markets and Government Securities

Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Markets Fund is expected to under-perform the Government Securities. In addition to that, Emerging Markets is 3.92 times more volatile than Government Securities Fund. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Government Securities Fund is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  860.00  in Government Securities Fund on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14.00  from holding Government Securities Fund or generate 1.63% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Emerging Markets Fund  vs.  Government Securities Fund

Emerging Markets

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's primary indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Government Securities

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Government Securities Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Emerging Markets and Government Securities

The main advantage of trading using opposite Emerging Markets and Government Securities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Emerging Markets position performs unexpectedly, Government Securities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Securities will offset losses from the drop in Government Securities' long position.

The idea behind Emerging Markets Fund and Government Securities Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.