Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and First Trust

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra Consumer and First Trust Consumer, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and First Trust

0.53

Correlation Coefficient

ProShares Ultra  First Trust

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and First is 0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra Consumer and First Trust Consumer in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Consumer and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra Consumer are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Consumer has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and First Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra Consumer is expected to under-perform the First Trust. In addition to that, ProShares Ultra is 1.56 times more volatile than First Trust Consumer. It trades about -0.38 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Consumer is currently generating about -0.55 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  6,908  in First Trust Consumer on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (494.00) from holding First Trust Consumer or give up 7.15% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

ProShares Ultra Consumer  vs.  First Trust Consumer

ProShares Ultra Consumer

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra Consumer has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Etf's technical and fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the fund shareholders.

First Trust Consumer

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Trust Consumer has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.

The idea behind ProShares Ultra Consumer and First Trust Consumer pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.