Correlation Between Ultra Clean and CF Industries

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Clean and CF Industries at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Clean and CF Industries into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Clean Holdings and CF Industries Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Clean and CF Industries and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Clean with a short position of CF Industries. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Clean and CF Industries.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Clean and CF Industries

0.49
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and CF Industries is 0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Clean Holdings and CF Industries Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CF Industries Holdings and Ultra Clean is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Clean Holdings are associated (or correlated) with CF Industries. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CF Industries Holdings has no effect on the direction of Ultra Clean i.e., Ultra Clean and CF Industries go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Clean and CF Industries

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ultra Clean is expected to generate 2.15 times less return on investment than CF Industries. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Ultra Clean Holdings is 1.02 times less risky than CF Industries. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. CF Industries Holdings is currently generating about 0.36 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8,485  in CF Industries Holdings on October 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,216  from holding CF Industries Holdings or generate 14.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Clean Holdings  vs.  CF Industries Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Clean Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Clean Holdings are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Ultra Clean may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.
CF Industries Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CF Industries Holdings are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak technical and fundamental indicators, CF Industries reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ultra Clean and CF Industries Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Clean and CF Industries

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Clean and CF Industries positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Clean position performs unexpectedly, CF Industries can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CF Industries will offset losses from the drop in CF Industries' long position.
The idea behind Ultra Clean Holdings and CF Industries Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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