Correlation Between Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ulta Beauty with a short position of Tractor Supply. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply.

Diversification Opportunities for Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply

0.18
  Correlation Coefficient

Average diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ulta and Tractor is 0.18. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ulta Beauty are associated (or correlated) with Tractor Supply. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Tractor Supply has no effect on the direction of Ulta Beauty i.e., Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ulta Beauty is expected to generate 2.05 times more return on investment than Tractor Supply. However, Ulta Beauty is 2.05 times more volatile than Tractor Supply. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Tractor Supply is currently generating about -0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  11,815  in Ulta Beauty on October 6, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,405  from holding Ulta Beauty or generate 11.89% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy94.74%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ulta Beauty  vs.  Tractor Supply

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ulta Beauty are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak essential indicators, Ulta Beauty sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Tractor Supply 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tractor Supply are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Tractor Supply may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ulta Beauty position performs unexpectedly, Tractor Supply can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tractor Supply will offset losses from the drop in Tractor Supply's long position.
The idea behind Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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