Correlation Between Ulta Beauty and Bath Body

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ulta Beauty and Bath Body at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ulta Beauty and Bath Body into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ulta Beauty and Bath Body Works, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ulta Beauty and Bath Body and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ulta Beauty with a short position of Bath Body. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ulta Beauty and Bath Body.

Diversification Opportunities for Ulta Beauty and Bath Body

0.37
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ulta and Bath is 0.37. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ulta Beauty and Bath Body Works in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Bath Body Works and Ulta Beauty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ulta Beauty are associated (or correlated) with Bath Body. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Bath Body Works has no effect on the direction of Ulta Beauty i.e., Ulta Beauty and Bath Body go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ulta Beauty and Bath Body

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ulta Beauty is expected to generate 0.79 times more return on investment than Bath Body. However, Ulta Beauty is 1.26 times less risky than Bath Body. It trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Bath Body Works is currently generating about -0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  13,400  in Ulta Beauty on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3,440) from holding Ulta Beauty or give up 25.67% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy98.33%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ulta Beauty  vs.  Bath Body Works

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ulta Beauty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Bath Body Works 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Bath Body Works has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Ulta Beauty and Bath Body Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ulta Beauty and Bath Body

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ulta Beauty and Bath Body positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ulta Beauty position performs unexpectedly, Bath Body can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bath Body will offset losses from the drop in Bath Body's long position.
The idea behind Ulta Beauty and Bath Body Works pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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