Correlation Between Ternium SA and West Fraser

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ternium SA and West Fraser at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ternium SA and West Fraser into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ternium SA ADR and West Fraser Timber, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ternium SA and West Fraser and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ternium SA with a short position of West Fraser. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ternium SA and West Fraser.

Diversification Opportunities for Ternium SA and West Fraser

-0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ternium and West is -0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ternium SA ADR and West Fraser Timber in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on West Fraser Timber and Ternium SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ternium SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with West Fraser. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of West Fraser Timber has no effect on the direction of Ternium SA i.e., Ternium SA and West Fraser go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ternium SA and West Fraser

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ternium SA ADR is expected to generate 1.11 times more return on investment than West Fraser. However, Ternium SA is 1.11 times more volatile than West Fraser Timber. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. West Fraser Timber is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,898  in Ternium SA ADR on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  275.00  from holding Ternium SA ADR or generate 9.49% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ternium SA ADR  vs.  West Fraser Timber

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ternium SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ternium SA ADR are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Ternium SA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
West Fraser Timber 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days West Fraser Timber has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Ternium SA and West Fraser Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ternium SA and West Fraser

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ternium SA and West Fraser positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ternium SA position performs unexpectedly, West Fraser can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in West Fraser will offset losses from the drop in West Fraser's long position.
The idea behind Ternium SA ADR and West Fraser Timber pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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