Correlation Between Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ternium SA ADR and CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ternium SA with a short position of CONSTELLATION. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION.

Diversification Opportunities for Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ternium and CONSTELLATION is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ternium SA ADR and CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC and Ternium SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ternium SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with CONSTELLATION. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC has no effect on the direction of Ternium SA i.e., Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ternium SA ADR is expected to under-perform the CONSTELLATION. In addition to that, Ternium SA is 1.75 times more volatile than CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC. It trades about -0.31 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC is currently generating about -0.45 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  9,727  in CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC on October 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (602.00) from holding CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC or give up 6.19% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy76.19%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ternium SA ADR  vs.  CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ternium SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ternium SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, CONSTELLATION is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ternium SA and CONSTELLATION positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ternium SA position performs unexpectedly, CONSTELLATION can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in CONSTELLATION will offset losses from the drop in CONSTELLATION's long position.
The idea behind Ternium SA ADR and CONSTELLATION BRANDS INC pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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