Correlation Between Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ternium SA ADR and ArcelorMittal SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ternium SA with a short position of ArcelorMittal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal.

Diversification Opportunities for Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ternium and ArcelorMittal is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ternium SA ADR and ArcelorMittal SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ArcelorMittal SA ADR and Ternium SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ternium SA ADR are associated (or correlated) with ArcelorMittal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ArcelorMittal SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Ternium SA i.e., Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ternium SA is expected to generate 2.96 times less return on investment than ArcelorMittal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Ternium SA ADR is 1.8 times less risky than ArcelorMittal. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ArcelorMittal SA ADR is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,293  in ArcelorMittal SA ADR on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  585.00  from holding ArcelorMittal SA ADR or generate 25.51% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ternium SA ADR  vs.  ArcelorMittal SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ternium SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ternium SA ADR are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Ternium SA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.
ArcelorMittal SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ArcelorMittal SA ADR are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, ArcelorMittal unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ternium SA and ArcelorMittal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ternium SA position performs unexpectedly, ArcelorMittal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ArcelorMittal will offset losses from the drop in ArcelorMittal's long position.
The idea behind Ternium SA ADR and ArcelorMittal SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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