Correlation Between Intermediate-term and Government Long

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate-term and Government Long at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate-term and Government Long into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and Government Long Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate-term and Government Long and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate-term with a short position of Government Long. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate-term and Government Long.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate-term and Government Long

0.64
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate-term and Government is 0.64. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon and Government Long Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Long Bond and Intermediate-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are associated (or correlated) with Government Long. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Long Bond has no effect on the direction of Intermediate-term i.e., Intermediate-term and Government Long go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate-term and Government Long

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is expected to generate 0.23 times more return on investment than Government Long. However, Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is 4.4 times less risky than Government Long. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Government Long Bond is currently generating about -0.09 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,070  in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond on October 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (4.00) from holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond or give up 0.37% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon  vs.  Government Long Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Government Long Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Long Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, Government Long is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate-term and Government Long Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate-term and Government Long

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate-term and Government Long positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate-term position performs unexpectedly, Government Long can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Long will offset losses from the drop in Government Long's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and Government Long Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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