Correlation Between Intermediate-term and Short Duration

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate-term and Short Duration at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate-term and Short Duration into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and Short Duration Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate-term and Short Duration and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate-term with a short position of Short Duration. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate-term and Short Duration.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate-term and Short Duration

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate-term and Short is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon and Short Duration Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Short Duration and Intermediate-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are associated (or correlated) with Short Duration. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Short Duration has no effect on the direction of Intermediate-term i.e., Intermediate-term and Short Duration go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate-term and Short Duration

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate-term is expected to generate 1.78 times less return on investment than Short Duration. In addition to that, Intermediate-term is 1.51 times more volatile than Short Duration Fund. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Short Duration Fund is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  965.00  in Short Duration Fund on December 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  15.00  from holding Short Duration Fund or generate 1.55% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon  vs.  Short Duration Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Short Duration 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Short Duration Fund are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Short Duration is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate-term and Short Duration Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate-term and Short Duration

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate-term and Short Duration positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate-term position performs unexpectedly, Short Duration can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Short Duration will offset losses from the drop in Short Duration's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and Short Duration Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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