Correlation Between Intermediate-term and High Yield

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate-term and High Yield at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate-term and High Yield into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and High Yield Municipal Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate-term and High Yield and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate-term with a short position of High Yield. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate-term and High Yield.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate-term and High Yield

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate-term and High is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon and High Yield Municipal Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on High Yield Municipal and Intermediate-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are associated (or correlated) with High Yield. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of High Yield Municipal has no effect on the direction of Intermediate-term i.e., Intermediate-term and High Yield go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate-term and High Yield

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is expected to generate 0.68 times more return on investment than High Yield. However, Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is 1.47 times less risky than High Yield. It trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. High Yield Municipal Fund is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,082  in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond on October 9, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (10.00) from holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond or give up 0.92% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon  vs.  High Yield Municipal Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
High Yield Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days High Yield Municipal Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, High Yield is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate-term and High Yield Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate-term and High Yield

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate-term and High Yield positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate-term position performs unexpectedly, High Yield can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in High Yield will offset losses from the drop in High Yield's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and High Yield Municipal Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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