Correlation Between Emerging Markets and Global Gold

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Emerging Markets and Global Gold at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Emerging Markets and Global Gold into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Emerging Markets Fund and Global Gold Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Emerging Markets and Global Gold and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Emerging Markets with a short position of Global Gold. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Emerging Markets and Global Gold.

Diversification Opportunities for Emerging Markets and Global Gold

0.62

Correlation Coefficient

Emerging Markets  Global Gold

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Emerging and Global is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Emerging Markets Fund and Global Gold Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Global Gold Fund and Emerging Markets is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Emerging Markets Fund are associated (or correlated) with Global Gold. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Global Gold Fund has no effect on the direction of Emerging Markets i.e., Emerging Markets and Global Gold go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Emerging Markets and Global Gold

Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Markets Fund is expected to generate 0.38 times more return on investment than Global Gold. However, Emerging Markets Fund is 2.66 times less risky than Global Gold. It trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Global Gold Fund is currently generating about -0.2 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,128  in Emerging Markets Fund on September 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Emerging Markets Fund or give up 0.8% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Emerging Markets Fund  vs.  Global Gold Fund

Emerging Markets

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Emerging Markets Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Global Gold Fund

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Global Gold Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Pair Trading with Emerging Markets and Global Gold

The main advantage of trading using opposite Emerging Markets and Global Gold positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Emerging Markets position performs unexpectedly, Global Gold can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Global Gold will offset losses from the drop in Global Gold's long position.

The idea behind Emerging Markets Fund and Global Gold Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.