Correlation Between Equity Income and Government Bond

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Equity Income and Government Bond at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Equity Income and Government Bond into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Equity Income Fund and Government Bond Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Equity Income and Government Bond and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Equity Income with a short position of Government Bond. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Equity Income and Government Bond.

Diversification Opportunities for Equity Income and Government Bond

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Equity and Government is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Equity Income Fund and Government Bond Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Bond and Equity Income is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Equity Income Fund are associated (or correlated) with Government Bond. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Bond has no effect on the direction of Equity Income i.e., Equity Income and Government Bond go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Equity Income and Government Bond

Assuming the 90 days horizon Equity Income Fund is expected to under-perform the Government Bond. In addition to that, Equity Income is 3.83 times more volatile than Government Bond Fund. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Government Bond Fund is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  932.00  in Government Bond Fund on December 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Government Bond Fund or generate 0.75% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

Equity Income Fund  vs.  Government Bond Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Equity Income 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Equity Income Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
Government Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Government Bond Fund are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Government Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Equity Income and Government Bond Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Equity Income and Government Bond

The main advantage of trading using opposite Equity Income and Government Bond positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Equity Income position performs unexpectedly, Government Bond can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Bond will offset losses from the drop in Government Bond's long position.
The idea behind Equity Income Fund and Government Bond Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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