Correlation Between Direxion Shares and Northern Lights

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Direxion Shares and Northern Lights at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Direxion Shares and Northern Lights into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Direxion Shares ETF and Northern Lights, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Direxion Shares and Northern Lights and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Direxion Shares with a short position of Northern Lights. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Direxion Shares and Northern Lights.

Diversification Opportunities for Direxion Shares and Northern Lights

0.06
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Direxion and Northern is 0.06. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Direxion Shares ETF and Northern Lights in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Northern Lights and Direxion Shares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Direxion Shares ETF are associated (or correlated) with Northern Lights. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Northern Lights has no effect on the direction of Direxion Shares i.e., Direxion Shares and Northern Lights go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Direxion Shares and Northern Lights

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Direxion Shares ETF is expected to under-perform the Northern Lights. In addition to that, Direxion Shares is 6.64 times more volatile than Northern Lights. It trades about -0.46 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Northern Lights is currently generating about -0.28 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,804  in Northern Lights on December 4, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (160.00) from holding Northern Lights or give up 5.71% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Direxion Shares ETF  vs.  Northern Lights

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Direxion Shares ETF 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Direxion Shares ETF has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Etf's essential indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the ETF venture institutional investors.
Northern Lights 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northern Lights has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Etf's technical and fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the ETF investors.

Direxion Shares and Northern Lights Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Direxion Shares and Northern Lights

The main advantage of trading using opposite Direxion Shares and Northern Lights positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Direxion Shares position performs unexpectedly, Northern Lights can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Northern Lights will offset losses from the drop in Northern Lights' long position.
The idea behind Direxion Shares ETF and Northern Lights pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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