Correlation Between Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Short Term Fixed and Emerging Markets Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra-short Term with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra-short and Emerging is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Short Term Fixed and Emerging Markets Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets and Ultra-short Term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Short Term Fixed are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets has no effect on the direction of Ultra-short Term i.e., Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultra-short Term is expected to generate 4.64 times less return on investment than Emerging Markets. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Ultra Short Term Fixed is 24.23 times less risky than Emerging Markets. It trades about 0.5 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Fund is currently generating about 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,027  in Emerging Markets Fund on December 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  113.00  from holding Emerging Markets Fund or generate 5.57% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Short Term Fixed  vs.  Emerging Markets Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Short Term Fixed are ranked lower than 39 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Ultra-short Term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Emerging Markets 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Fund are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong primary indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra-short Term and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra-short Term position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.
The idea behind Ultra Short Term Fixed and Emerging Markets Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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