Correlation Between Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid Cap Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timothy Plan with a short position of Vanguard Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Timothy and Vanguard is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid Cap Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Mid Cap and Timothy Plan is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timothy Plan are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Mid Cap has no effect on the direction of Timothy Plan i.e., Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Timothy Plan is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Mid. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Timothy Plan is 1.13 times less risky than Vanguard Mid. The etf trades about -0.55 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Vanguard Mid Cap Value is currently generating about -0.45 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  17,384  in Vanguard Mid Cap Value on October 1, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,333) from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Value or give up 7.67% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

Timothy Plan   vs.  Vanguard Mid Cap Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Timothy Plan 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Timothy Plan has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical indicators, Timothy Plan is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Mid Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Vanguard Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timothy Plan position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Mid will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Mid's long position.
The idea behind Timothy Plan and Vanguard Mid Cap Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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