Correlation Between TotalEnergies and Exxon

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both TotalEnergies and Exxon at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining TotalEnergies and Exxon into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between TotalEnergies SE and Exxon Mobil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on TotalEnergies and Exxon and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in TotalEnergies with a short position of Exxon. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of TotalEnergies and Exxon.

Diversification Opportunities for TotalEnergies and Exxon

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between TotalEnergies and Exxon is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TotalEnergies SE and Exxon Mobil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Exxon Mobil and TotalEnergies is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on TotalEnergies SE are associated (or correlated) with Exxon. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Exxon Mobil has no effect on the direction of TotalEnergies i.e., TotalEnergies and Exxon go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between TotalEnergies and Exxon

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TotalEnergies SE is expected to under-perform the Exxon. In addition to that, TotalEnergies is 1.22 times more volatile than Exxon Mobil. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Exxon Mobil is currently generating about -0.12 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  240,919  in Exxon Mobil on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (17,589) from holding Exxon Mobil or give up 7.3% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy97.5%
ValuesDaily Returns

TotalEnergies SE  vs.  Exxon Mobil

 Performance 
       Timeline  
TotalEnergies SE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days TotalEnergies SE has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Exxon Mobil 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Exxon Mobil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's primary indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

TotalEnergies and Exxon Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with TotalEnergies and Exxon

The main advantage of trading using opposite TotalEnergies and Exxon positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if TotalEnergies position performs unexpectedly, Exxon can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Exxon will offset losses from the drop in Exxon's long position.
The idea behind TotalEnergies SE and Exxon Mobil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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