Correlation Between Municipal Bond and Dow Jones

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Municipal Bond and Dow Jones at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Municipal Bond and Dow Jones into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Municipal Bond Fund and Dow Jones Industrial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Municipal Bond and Dow Jones and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Municipal Bond with a short position of Dow Jones. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Municipal Bond and Dow Jones.

Diversification Opportunities for Municipal Bond and Dow Jones

0.22
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Municipal and Dow is 0.22. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Municipal Bond Fund and Dow Jones Industrial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Dow Jones Industrial and Municipal Bond is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Municipal Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with Dow Jones. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Dow Jones Industrial has no effect on the direction of Municipal Bond i.e., Municipal Bond and Dow Jones go up and down completely randomly.
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Pair Corralation between Municipal Bond and Dow Jones

Assuming the 90 days horizon Municipal Bond Fund is expected to generate 0.35 times more return on investment than Dow Jones. However, Municipal Bond Fund is 2.89 times less risky than Dow Jones. It trades about -0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating about -0.21 per unit of risk. If you would invest  862.00  in Municipal Bond Fund on September 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (9.00) from holding Municipal Bond Fund or give up 1.04% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Municipal Bond Fund  vs.  Dow Jones Industrial

 Performance 
       Timeline  

Municipal Bond and Dow Jones Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Municipal Bond and Dow Jones

The main advantage of trading using opposite Municipal Bond and Dow Jones positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Municipal Bond position performs unexpectedly, Dow Jones can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dow Jones will offset losses from the drop in Dow Jones' long position.
The idea behind Municipal Bond Fund and Dow Jones Industrial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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