Correlation Between Tillys and Macys

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tillys and Macys at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tillys and Macys into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tillys Inc and Macys Inc, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tillys and Macys and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tillys with a short position of Macys. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tillys and Macys.

Diversification Opportunities for Tillys and Macys

-0.38
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tillys and Macys is -0.38. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tillys Inc and Macys Inc in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Macys Inc and Tillys is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tillys Inc are associated (or correlated) with Macys. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Macys Inc has no effect on the direction of Tillys i.e., Tillys and Macys go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tillys and Macys

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tillys Inc is expected to under-perform the Macys. In addition to that, Tillys is 2.12 times more volatile than Macys Inc. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Macys Inc is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,577  in Macys Inc on September 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  91.50  from holding Macys Inc or generate 5.8% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tillys Inc  vs.  Macys Inc

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tillys Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Tillys Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.
Macys Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Macys Inc are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating primary indicators, Macys displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Tillys and Macys Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tillys and Macys

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tillys and Macys positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tillys position performs unexpectedly, Macys can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Macys will offset losses from the drop in Macys' long position.
The idea behind Tillys Inc and Macys Inc pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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