Correlation Between Tillys and Citi Trends

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tillys and Citi Trends at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tillys and Citi Trends into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tillys Inc and Citi Trends, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tillys and Citi Trends and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tillys with a short position of Citi Trends. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tillys and Citi Trends.

Diversification Opportunities for Tillys and Citi Trends

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tillys and Citi is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tillys Inc and Citi Trends in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Citi Trends and Tillys is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tillys Inc are associated (or correlated) with Citi Trends. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Citi Trends has no effect on the direction of Tillys i.e., Tillys and Citi Trends go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tillys and Citi Trends

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tillys Inc is expected to under-perform the Citi Trends. In addition to that, Tillys is 1.06 times more volatile than Citi Trends. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Citi Trends is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,655  in Citi Trends on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (378.00) from holding Citi Trends or give up 14.24% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tillys Inc  vs.  Citi Trends

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tillys Inc 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Tillys Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.
Citi Trends 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Citi Trends has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors.

Tillys and Citi Trends Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tillys and Citi Trends

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tillys and Citi Trends positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tillys position performs unexpectedly, Citi Trends can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Citi Trends will offset losses from the drop in Citi Trends' long position.
The idea behind Tillys Inc and Citi Trends pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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