Correlation Between Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Telkom Indonesia Tbk and NightFood Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Telkom Indonesia with a short position of NightFood Holdings. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings.

Diversification Opportunities for Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings

0.09
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Telkom and NightFood is 0.09. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Telkom Indonesia Tbk and NightFood Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NightFood Holdings and Telkom Indonesia is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Telkom Indonesia Tbk are associated (or correlated) with NightFood Holdings. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NightFood Holdings has no effect on the direction of Telkom Indonesia i.e., Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings

Assuming the 90 days horizon Telkom Indonesia Tbk is expected to under-perform the NightFood Holdings. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Telkom Indonesia Tbk is 2.89 times less risky than NightFood Holdings. The pink sheet trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NightFood Holdings is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  8.03  in NightFood Holdings on December 4, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (7.42) from holding NightFood Holdings or give up 92.4% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy27.53%
ValuesDaily Returns

Telkom Indonesia Tbk  vs.  NightFood Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Telkom Indonesia Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Telkom Indonesia Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's primary indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
NightFood Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NightFood Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings

The main advantage of trading using opposite Telkom Indonesia and NightFood Holdings positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Telkom Indonesia position performs unexpectedly, NightFood Holdings can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NightFood Holdings will offset losses from the drop in NightFood Holdings' long position.
The idea behind Telkom Indonesia Tbk and NightFood Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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