Correlation Between IShares 10 and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both IShares 10 and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining IShares 10 and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between iShares 10 20 Year and US Treasury 30, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on IShares 10 and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in IShares 10 with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of IShares 10 and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for IShares 10 and US Treasury

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between IShares and UTHY is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding iShares 10 20 Year and US Treasury 30 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 30 and IShares 10 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on iShares 10 20 Year are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 30 has no effect on the direction of IShares 10 i.e., IShares 10 and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between IShares 10 and US Treasury

Considering the 90-day investment horizon iShares 10 20 Year is expected to generate 0.78 times more return on investment than US Treasury. However, iShares 10 20 Year is 1.27 times less risky than US Treasury. It trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 30 is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,395  in iShares 10 20 Year on November 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (180.00) from holding iShares 10 20 Year or give up 1.73% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

iShares 10 20 Year  vs.  US Treasury 30

 Performance 
       Timeline  
iShares 10 20 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days iShares 10 20 Year has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong essential indicators, IShares 10 is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.
US Treasury 30 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days US Treasury 30 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong technical indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

IShares 10 and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with IShares 10 and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite IShares 10 and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if IShares 10 position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind iShares 10 20 Year and US Treasury 30 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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