Correlation Between Timken and Ambev SA

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Timken and Ambev SA at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Timken and Ambev SA into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Timken Company and Ambev SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Timken and Ambev SA and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Timken with a short position of Ambev SA. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Timken and Ambev SA.

Diversification Opportunities for Timken and Ambev SA

0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Timken and Ambev is 0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Timken Company and Ambev SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ambev SA ADR and Timken is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Timken Company are associated (or correlated) with Ambev SA. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ambev SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Timken i.e., Timken and Ambev SA go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Timken and Ambev SA

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Timken Company is expected to generate 1.19 times more return on investment than Ambev SA. However, Timken is 1.19 times more volatile than Ambev SA ADR. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ambev SA ADR is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,467  in Timken Company on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (313.00) from holding Timken Company or give up 4.19% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Timken Company  vs.  Ambev SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Timken Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Timken Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.
Ambev SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ambev SA ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain fairly stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest fuss may also be a sign of long-term up-swing for the venture sophisticated investors.

Timken and Ambev SA Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Timken and Ambev SA

The main advantage of trading using opposite Timken and Ambev SA positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Timken position performs unexpectedly, Ambev SA can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ambev SA will offset losses from the drop in Ambev SA's long position.
The idea behind Timken Company and Ambev SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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