Correlation Between Target and Ulta Beauty

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Target and Ulta Beauty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Target and Ulta Beauty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Target and Ulta Beauty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Target and Ulta Beauty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Target with a short position of Ulta Beauty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Target and Ulta Beauty.

Diversification Opportunities for Target and Ulta Beauty

0.84

Correlation Coefficient

Target  Ulta Beauty

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Target and Ulta is 0.84. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Target and Ulta Beauty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ulta Beauty and Target is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Target are associated (or correlated) with Ulta Beauty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ulta Beauty has no effect on the direction of Target i.e., Target and Ulta Beauty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Target and Ulta Beauty

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Target is expected to under-perform the Ulta Beauty. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Target is 1.56 times less risky than Ulta Beauty. The stock trades about -0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Ulta Beauty is currently generating about -0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  44,215  in Ulta Beauty on December 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (7,140) from holding Ulta Beauty or give up 16.15% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Target  vs.  Ulta Beauty

Target

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Target has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Ulta Beauty

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Ulta Beauty has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.

Pair Trading with Target and Ulta Beauty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Target and Ulta Beauty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Target position performs unexpectedly, Ulta Beauty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ulta Beauty will offset losses from the drop in Ulta Beauty's long position.

The idea behind Target and Ulta Beauty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.