Correlation Between Triumph and Textron

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Triumph and Textron at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Triumph and Textron into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Triumph Group and Textron, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Triumph and Textron and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Triumph with a short position of Textron. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Triumph and Textron.

Diversification Opportunities for Triumph and Textron

-0.41
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Triumph and Textron is -0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Triumph Group and Textron in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Textron and Triumph is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Triumph Group are associated (or correlated) with Textron. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Textron has no effect on the direction of Triumph i.e., Triumph and Textron go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Triumph and Textron

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Triumph Group is expected to generate 2.4 times more return on investment than Textron. However, Triumph is 2.4 times more volatile than Textron. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Textron is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,567  in Triumph Group on September 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  308.00  from holding Triumph Group or generate 19.66% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Triumph Group  vs.  Textron

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Triumph Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Triumph Group are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Triumph demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Textron 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Textron has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors.

Triumph and Textron Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Triumph and Textron

The main advantage of trading using opposite Triumph and Textron positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Triumph position performs unexpectedly, Textron can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Textron will offset losses from the drop in Textron's long position.
The idea behind Triumph Group and Textron pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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