Correlation Between Triple Flag and Algoma Steel

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Triple Flag and Algoma Steel at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Triple Flag and Algoma Steel into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Triple Flag Precious and Algoma Steel Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Triple Flag and Algoma Steel and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Triple Flag with a short position of Algoma Steel. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Triple Flag and Algoma Steel.

Diversification Opportunities for Triple Flag and Algoma Steel

-0.9
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Triple and Algoma is -0.9. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Triple Flag Precious and Algoma Steel Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Algoma Steel Group and Triple Flag is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Triple Flag Precious are associated (or correlated) with Algoma Steel. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Algoma Steel Group has no effect on the direction of Triple Flag i.e., Triple Flag and Algoma Steel go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Triple Flag and Algoma Steel

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Triple Flag Precious is expected to generate 0.52 times more return on investment than Algoma Steel. However, Triple Flag Precious is 1.92 times less risky than Algoma Steel. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Algoma Steel Group is currently generating about -0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,145  in Triple Flag Precious on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  635.00  from holding Triple Flag Precious or generate 29.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy96.83%
ValuesDaily Returns

Triple Flag Precious  vs.  Algoma Steel Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Triple Flag Precious 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Triple Flag Precious are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, Triple Flag displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Algoma Steel Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Algoma Steel Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Triple Flag and Algoma Steel Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Triple Flag and Algoma Steel

The main advantage of trading using opposite Triple Flag and Algoma Steel positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Triple Flag position performs unexpectedly, Algoma Steel can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Algoma Steel will offset losses from the drop in Algoma Steel's long position.
The idea behind Triple Flag Precious and Algoma Steel Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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