Correlation Between Truist Financial and Old National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Truist Financial and Old National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Truist Financial and Old National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Truist Financial Corp and Old National Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Truist Financial and Old National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Truist Financial with a short position of Old National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Truist Financial and Old National.

Diversification Opportunities for Truist Financial and Old National

0.94
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Truist and Old is 0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Truist Financial Corp and Old National Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Old National Bancorp and Truist Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Truist Financial Corp are associated (or correlated) with Old National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Old National Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Truist Financial i.e., Truist Financial and Old National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Truist Financial and Old National

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Truist Financial Corp is expected to under-perform the Old National. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Truist Financial Corp is 1.17 times less risky than Old National. The stock trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Old National Bancorp is currently generating about -0.01 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,186  in Old National Bancorp on December 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding Old National Bancorp or give up 1.78% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

Truist Financial Corp  vs.  Old National Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Truist Financial Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Truist Financial Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Truist Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Old National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Old National Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, Old National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Truist Financial and Old National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Truist Financial and Old National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Truist Financial and Old National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Truist Financial position performs unexpectedly, Old National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Old National will offset losses from the drop in Old National's long position.
The idea behind Truist Financial Corp and Old National Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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