Correlation Between Telecom Argentina and Telefonica

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Telecom Argentina and Telefonica at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Telecom Argentina and Telefonica into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Telecom Argentina SA and Telefonica SA ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Telecom Argentina and Telefonica and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Telecom Argentina with a short position of Telefonica. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Telecom Argentina and Telefonica.

Diversification Opportunities for Telecom Argentina and Telefonica

-0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Telecom and Telefonica is -0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Telecom Argentina SA and Telefonica SA ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Telefonica SA ADR and Telecom Argentina is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Telecom Argentina SA are associated (or correlated) with Telefonica. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Telefonica SA ADR has no effect on the direction of Telecom Argentina i.e., Telecom Argentina and Telefonica go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Telecom Argentina and Telefonica

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Telecom Argentina SA is expected to under-perform the Telefonica. In addition to that, Telecom Argentina is 3.59 times more volatile than Telefonica SA ADR. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Telefonica SA ADR is currently generating about 0.23 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  402.00  in Telefonica SA ADR on December 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  61.00  from holding Telefonica SA ADR or generate 15.17% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Telecom Argentina SA  vs.  Telefonica SA ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Telecom Argentina 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Telecom Argentina SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.
Telefonica SA ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Telefonica SA ADR are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unfluctuating technical and fundamental indicators, Telefonica reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Telecom Argentina and Telefonica Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Telecom Argentina and Telefonica

The main advantage of trading using opposite Telecom Argentina and Telefonica positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Telecom Argentina position performs unexpectedly, Telefonica can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Telefonica will offset losses from the drop in Telefonica's long position.
The idea behind Telecom Argentina SA and Telefonica SA ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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