Correlation Between ProShares UltraShort and First Trust

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraShort and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraShort and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraShort 20 and First Trust TCW, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraShort and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraShort with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraShort and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraShort and First Trust

-0.43

Correlation Coefficient

ProShares UltraShort  First Trust

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and First is -0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort 20 and First Trust TCW in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust TCW and ProShares UltraShort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraShort 20 are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust TCW has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraShort i.e., ProShares UltraShort and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraShort and First Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort 20 is expected to generate 10.08 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, ProShares UltraShort is 10.08 times more volatile than First Trust TCW. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust TCW is currently generating about 0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,889  in ProShares UltraShort 20 on October 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  811.00  from holding ProShares UltraShort 20 or generate 28.07% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	99.04%
Values	Daily Returns

ProShares UltraShort 20  vs.  First Trust TCW

ProShares UltraShort

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort 20 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain fundamental drivers, ProShares UltraShort may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

First Trust TCW

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

Weak

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust TCW are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraShort and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.

The idea behind ProShares UltraShort 20 and First Trust TCW pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.