Correlation Between SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR SP 500 and ProShares UltraShort SP500, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR SP with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort

-0.94

Correlation Coefficient

SPDR SP  ProShares UltraShort

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and ProShares is -0.94. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR SP 500 and ProShares UltraShort SP500 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and SPDR SP is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of SPDR SP i.e., SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort

Considering the 90-day investment horizon SPDR SP 500 is expected to under-perform the ProShares UltraShort. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, SPDR SP 500 is 1.98 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. The etf trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ProShares UltraShort SP500 is currently generating about 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,928  in ProShares UltraShort SP500 on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  147.00  from holding ProShares UltraShort SP500 or generate 7.62% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

SPDR SP 500  vs.  ProShares UltraShort SP500

SPDR SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days SPDR SP 500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, SPDR SP is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ProShares UltraShort

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort SP500 are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unsteady fundamental indicators, ProShares UltraShort may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in April 2025.

Pair Trading with SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR SP and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR SP position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.

The idea behind SPDR SP 500 and ProShares UltraShort SP500 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.