Correlation Between SPDR SP and Direxion Shares

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR SP and Direxion Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR SP and Direxion Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR SP 500 and Direxion Shares ETF, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR SP and Direxion Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR SP with a short position of Direxion Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR SP and Direxion Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR SP and Direxion Shares

-0.86

Correlation Coefficient

SPDR SP  Direxion Shares

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and Direxion is -0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR SP 500 and Direxion Shares ETF in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Shares ETF and SPDR SP is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Shares ETF has no effect on the direction of SPDR SP i.e., SPDR SP and Direxion Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR SP and Direxion Shares

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPDR SP 500 is expected to generate 0.42 times more return on investment than Direxion Shares. However, SPDR SP 500 is 2.37 times less risky than Direxion Shares. It trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direxion Shares ETF is currently generating about -0.33 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,218,563  in SPDR SP 500 on October 10, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (22,447) from holding SPDR SP 500 or give up 1.84% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

SPDR SP 500  vs.  Direxion Shares ETF

SPDR SP 500

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR SP 500 are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, SPDR SP may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

Direxion Shares ETF

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Direxion Shares ETF has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors.

Pair Trading with SPDR SP and Direxion Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR SP and Direxion Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR SP position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Shares will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Shares' long position.

The idea behind SPDR SP 500 and Direxion Shares ETF pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

Check out your portfolio center.

Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.