Correlation Between SPDR SP and Vanguard Total

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR SP and Vanguard Total at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR SP and Vanguard Total into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR SP 500 and Vanguard Total Market, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR SP and Vanguard Total and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR SP with a short position of Vanguard Total. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR SP and Vanguard Total.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR SP and Vanguard Total

1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and Vanguard is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR SP 500 and Vanguard Total Market in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Total Market and SPDR SP is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Total. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Total Market has no effect on the direction of SPDR SP i.e., SPDR SP and Vanguard Total go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR SP and Vanguard Total

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SPDR SP 500 is expected to generate 0.98 times more return on investment than Vanguard Total. However, SPDR SP 500 is 1.02 times less risky than Vanguard Total. It trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Total Market is currently generating about -0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  94,976  in SPDR SP 500 on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (4,650) from holding SPDR SP 500 or give up 4.9% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

SPDR SP 500  vs.  Vanguard Total Market

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SPDR SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days SPDR SP 500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, SPDR SP is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.
Vanguard Total Market 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Market has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

SPDR SP and Vanguard Total Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SPDR SP and Vanguard Total

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR SP and Vanguard Total positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR SP position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Total can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Total will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Total's long position.
The idea behind SPDR SP 500 and Vanguard Total Market pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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