Correlation Between SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR Barclays and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR Barclays and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR Barclays Long and US Treasury 20, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR Barclays and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR Barclays with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR Barclays and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

1.0
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and UTWY is 1.0. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR Barclays Long and US Treasury 20 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 20 and SPDR Barclays is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR Barclays Long are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 20 has no effect on the direction of SPDR Barclays i.e., SPDR Barclays and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

Given the investment horizon of 90 days SPDR Barclays Long is expected to generate 1.13 times more return on investment than US Treasury. However, SPDR Barclays is 1.13 times more volatile than US Treasury 20. It trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 20 is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,618  in SPDR Barclays Long on October 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (8.00) from holding SPDR Barclays Long or give up 0.31% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

SPDR Barclays Long  vs.  US Treasury 20

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SPDR Barclays Long 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days SPDR Barclays Long has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent basic indicators, SPDR Barclays is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
US Treasury 20 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Treasury 20 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

SPDR Barclays and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SPDR Barclays and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR Barclays and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR Barclays position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind SPDR Barclays Long and US Treasury 20 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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