Correlation Between SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SPDR Portfolio Mortgage and US Treasury 7, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in SPDR Portfolio with a short position of US Treasury. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury.

Diversification Opportunities for SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between SPDR and USVN is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SPDR Portfolio Mortgage and US Treasury 7 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on US Treasury 7 and SPDR Portfolio is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SPDR Portfolio Mortgage are associated (or correlated) with US Treasury. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of US Treasury 7 has no effect on the direction of SPDR Portfolio i.e., SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury

Given the investment horizon of 90 days SPDR Portfolio is expected to generate 1.01 times less return on investment than US Treasury. In addition to that, SPDR Portfolio is 1.06 times more volatile than US Treasury 7. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. US Treasury 7 is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,694  in US Treasury 7 on December 17, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  82.00  from holding US Treasury 7 or generate 1.75% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

SPDR Portfolio Mortgage  vs.  US Treasury 7

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SPDR Portfolio Mortgage 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Portfolio Mortgage are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong primary indicators, SPDR Portfolio is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
US Treasury 7 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in US Treasury 7 are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury

The main advantage of trading using opposite SPDR Portfolio and US Treasury positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if SPDR Portfolio position performs unexpectedly, US Treasury can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in US Treasury will offset losses from the drop in US Treasury's long position.
The idea behind SPDR Portfolio Mortgage and US Treasury 7 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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