Correlation Between Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Semen Indonesia Persero and Merdeka Copper Gold, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Semen Indonesia with a short position of Merdeka Copper. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper.

Diversification Opportunities for Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper

0.55
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Semen and Merdeka is 0.55. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Semen Indonesia Persero and Merdeka Copper Gold in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Merdeka Copper Gold and Semen Indonesia is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Semen Indonesia Persero are associated (or correlated) with Merdeka Copper. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Merdeka Copper Gold has no effect on the direction of Semen Indonesia i.e., Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Semen Indonesia Persero is expected to under-perform the Merdeka Copper. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Semen Indonesia Persero is 1.3 times less risky than Merdeka Copper. The stock trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Merdeka Copper Gold is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  161,500  in Merdeka Copper Gold on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (18,500) from holding Merdeka Copper Gold or give up 11.46% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Semen Indonesia Persero  vs.  Merdeka Copper Gold

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Semen Indonesia Persero 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Semen Indonesia Persero has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Merdeka Copper Gold 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Merdeka Copper Gold has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Merdeka Copper is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.

Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper

The main advantage of trading using opposite Semen Indonesia and Merdeka Copper positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Semen Indonesia position performs unexpectedly, Merdeka Copper can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merdeka Copper will offset losses from the drop in Merdeka Copper's long position.
The idea behind Semen Indonesia Persero and Merdeka Copper Gold pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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