Correlation Between ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraShort SP500 and 1x Short VIX, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraShort with a short position of 1x Short. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short

-0.68

Correlation Coefficient

ProShares UltraShort  1x Short

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and SVIX is -0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraShort SP500 and 1x Short VIX in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 1x Short VIX and ProShares UltraShort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraShort SP500 are associated (or correlated) with 1x Short. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 1x Short VIX has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraShort i.e., ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares UltraShort SP500 is expected to under-perform the 1x Short. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ProShares UltraShort SP500 is 2.62 times less risky than 1x Short. The etf trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The 1x Short VIX is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,638  in 1x Short VIX on October 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  999.00  from holding 1x Short VIX or generate 60.99% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	99.8%
Values	Daily Returns

ProShares UltraShort SP500  vs.   1x Short VIX

ProShares UltraShort

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraShort SP500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, ProShares UltraShort is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors.

1x Short VIX

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in 1x Short VIX are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, 1x Short showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraShort and 1x Short positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraShort position performs unexpectedly, 1x Short can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 1x Short will offset losses from the drop in 1x Short's long position.

The idea behind ProShares UltraShort SP500 and 1x Short VIX pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.