Correlation Between ETF Series and Vanguard Total

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ETF Series and Vanguard Total at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ETF Series and Vanguard Total into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ETF Series Solutions and Vanguard Total Stock, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ETF Series and Vanguard Total and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ETF Series with a short position of Vanguard Total. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ETF Series and Vanguard Total.

Diversification Opportunities for ETF Series and Vanguard Total

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between ETF and Vanguard is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ETF Series Solutions and Vanguard Total Stock in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Total Stock and ETF Series is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ETF Series Solutions are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Total. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Total Stock has no effect on the direction of ETF Series i.e., ETF Series and Vanguard Total go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ETF Series and Vanguard Total

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ETF Series Solutions is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Total. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ETF Series Solutions is 1.07 times less risky than Vanguard Total. The etf trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Vanguard Total Stock is currently generating about -0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  29,082  in Vanguard Total Stock on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,183) from holding Vanguard Total Stock or give up 4.07% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy98.36%
ValuesDaily Returns

ETF Series Solutions  vs.  Vanguard Total Stock

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ETF Series Solutions 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ETF Series Solutions has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, ETF Series is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
Vanguard Total Stock 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Stock has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

ETF Series and Vanguard Total Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ETF Series and Vanguard Total

The main advantage of trading using opposite ETF Series and Vanguard Total positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ETF Series position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Total can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Total will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Total's long position.
The idea behind ETF Series Solutions and Vanguard Total Stock pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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