Correlation Between S A P and Federal Signal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both S A P and Federal Signal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining S A P and Federal Signal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between SAP SE and Federal Signal, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on S A P and Federal Signal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in S A P with a short position of Federal Signal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of S A P and Federal Signal.

Diversification Opportunities for S A P and Federal Signal

0.67
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between SAP and Federal is 0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding SAP SE and Federal Signal in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Federal Signal and S A P is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on SAP SE are associated (or correlated) with Federal Signal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Federal Signal has no effect on the direction of S A P i.e., S A P and Federal Signal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between S A P and Federal Signal

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SAP SE is expected to generate 0.67 times more return on investment than Federal Signal. However, SAP SE is 1.49 times less risky than Federal Signal. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Federal Signal is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  10,430  in SAP SE on October 7, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13,055  from holding SAP SE or generate 125.17% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

SAP SE  vs.  Federal Signal

 Performance 
       Timeline  
SAP SE 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SAP SE are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, S A P unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Federal Signal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federal Signal are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Federal Signal may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2025.

S A P and Federal Signal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with S A P and Federal Signal

The main advantage of trading using opposite S A P and Federal Signal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if S A P position performs unexpectedly, Federal Signal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Federal Signal will offset losses from the drop in Federal Signal's long position.
The idea behind SAP SE and Federal Signal pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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