Correlation Between Strengthening Dollar and Government Long

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Strengthening Dollar and Government Long at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Strengthening Dollar and Government Long into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Strengthening Dollar 2x and Government Long Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Strengthening Dollar and Government Long and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Strengthening Dollar with a short position of Government Long. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Strengthening Dollar and Government Long.

Diversification Opportunities for Strengthening Dollar and Government Long

-0.8
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Strengthening and Government is -0.8. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Strengthening Dollar 2x and Government Long Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Long Bond and Strengthening Dollar is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Strengthening Dollar 2x are associated (or correlated) with Government Long. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Long Bond has no effect on the direction of Strengthening Dollar i.e., Strengthening Dollar and Government Long go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Strengthening Dollar and Government Long

Assuming the 90 days horizon Strengthening Dollar 2x is expected to generate 1.1 times more return on investment than Government Long. However, Strengthening Dollar is 1.1 times more volatile than Government Long Bond. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Government Long Bond is currently generating about -0.29 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,822  in Strengthening Dollar 2x on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (47.00) from holding Strengthening Dollar 2x or give up 0.69% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Strengthening Dollar 2x  vs.  Government Long Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Strengthening Dollar 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Strengthening Dollar 2x are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Strengthening Dollar showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Government Long Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Long Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's fundamental drivers remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Strengthening Dollar and Government Long Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Strengthening Dollar and Government Long

The main advantage of trading using opposite Strengthening Dollar and Government Long positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Strengthening Dollar position performs unexpectedly, Government Long can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Long will offset losses from the drop in Government Long's long position.
The idea behind Strengthening Dollar 2x and Government Long Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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