Correlation Between Emerging Markets and Inverse Government

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Emerging Markets and Inverse Government at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Emerging Markets and Inverse Government into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Emerging Markets Bond and Inverse Government Long, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Emerging Markets and Inverse Government and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Emerging Markets with a short position of Inverse Government. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Emerging Markets and Inverse Government.

Diversification Opportunities for Emerging Markets and Inverse Government

-0.91

Correlation Coefficient

Emerging Markets  Inverse Government

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Emerging and Inverse is -0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Emerging Markets Bond and Inverse Government Long in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Inverse Government Long and Emerging Markets is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Emerging Markets Bond are associated (or correlated) with Inverse Government. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Inverse Government Long has no effect on the direction of Emerging Markets i.e., Emerging Markets and Inverse Government go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Emerging Markets and Inverse Government

Assuming the 90 days horizon Emerging Markets Bond is expected to generate 0.39 times more return on investment than Inverse Government. However, Emerging Markets Bond is 2.54 times less risky than Inverse Government. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Inverse Government Long is currently generating about -0.03 per unit of risk. If you would invest  4,847  in Emerging Markets Bond on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  104.00  from holding Emerging Markets Bond or generate 2.15% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Emerging Markets Bond  vs.  Inverse Government Long

Emerging Markets Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Bond are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Inverse Government Long

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Inverse Government Long has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Inverse Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Emerging Markets and Inverse Government

The main advantage of trading using opposite Emerging Markets and Inverse Government positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Emerging Markets position performs unexpectedly, Inverse Government can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Inverse Government will offset losses from the drop in Inverse Government's long position.

The idea behind Emerging Markets Bond and Inverse Government Long pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.