Correlation Between Inverse Dow and Government Long

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inverse Dow and Government Long at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inverse Dow and Government Long into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inverse Dow 2x and Government Long Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inverse Dow and Government Long and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inverse Dow with a short position of Government Long. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inverse Dow and Government Long.

Diversification Opportunities for Inverse Dow and Government Long

0.23
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between Inverse and Government is 0.23. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inverse Dow 2x and Government Long Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Long Bond and Inverse Dow is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inverse Dow 2x are associated (or correlated) with Government Long. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Long Bond has no effect on the direction of Inverse Dow i.e., Inverse Dow and Government Long go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inverse Dow and Government Long

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Dow 2x is expected to generate 1.59 times more return on investment than Government Long. However, Inverse Dow is 1.59 times more volatile than Government Long Bond. It trades about -0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Government Long Bond is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,983  in Inverse Dow 2x on October 6, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (165.00) from holding Inverse Dow 2x or give up 5.53% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Inverse Dow 2x  vs.  Government Long Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Inverse Dow 2x 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Inverse Dow 2x has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Inverse Dow is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Government Long Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Government Long Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest weak performance, the Fund's fundamental drivers remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.

Inverse Dow and Government Long Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Inverse Dow and Government Long

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inverse Dow and Government Long positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inverse Dow position performs unexpectedly, Government Long can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Long will offset losses from the drop in Government Long's long position.
The idea behind Inverse Dow 2x and Government Long Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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