Correlation Between Inverse Government and Emerging Markets

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Inverse Government and Emerging Markets at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Inverse Government and Emerging Markets into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Inverse Government Long and Emerging Markets Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Inverse Government and Emerging Markets and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Inverse Government with a short position of Emerging Markets. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Inverse Government and Emerging Markets.

Diversification Opportunities for Inverse Government and Emerging Markets

-0.91

Correlation Coefficient

Inverse Government  Emerging Markets

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Inverse and Emerging is -0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Inverse Government Long and Emerging Markets Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Emerging Markets Bond and Inverse Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Inverse Government Long are associated (or correlated) with Emerging Markets. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Emerging Markets Bond has no effect on the direction of Inverse Government i.e., Inverse Government and Emerging Markets go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Inverse Government and Emerging Markets

Assuming the 90 days horizon Inverse Government Long is expected to under-perform the Emerging Markets. In addition to that, Inverse Government is 2.54 times more volatile than Emerging Markets Bond. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Emerging Markets Bond is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  4,847  in Emerging Markets Bond on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  104.00  from holding Emerging Markets Bond or generate 2.15% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Inverse Government Long  vs.  Emerging Markets Bond

Inverse Government Long

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Inverse Government Long has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Inverse Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Emerging Markets Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Emerging Markets Bond are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Emerging Markets is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Inverse Government and Emerging Markets

The main advantage of trading using opposite Inverse Government and Emerging Markets positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Inverse Government position performs unexpectedly, Emerging Markets can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Emerging Markets will offset losses from the drop in Emerging Markets' long position.

The idea behind Inverse Government Long and Emerging Markets Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.