Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra Technology and First Trust NASDAQ, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and First Trust

0.74
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and First is 0.74. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra Technology and First Trust NASDAQ in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust NASDAQ and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra Technology are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust NASDAQ has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and First Trust

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra is expected to generate 1.05 times less return on investment than First Trust. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, ProShares Ultra Technology is 1.1 times less risky than First Trust. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust NASDAQ is currently generating about 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,583  in First Trust NASDAQ on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  403.00  from holding First Trust NASDAQ or generate 7.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra Technology  vs.  First Trust NASDAQ

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra Tech 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Ultra Technology are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating basic indicators, ProShares Ultra displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Trust NASDAQ 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust NASDAQ are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental drivers, First Trust sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

ProShares Ultra and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra Technology and First Trust NASDAQ pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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