Correlation Between Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Gasoline RBOB with a short position of Heating Oil. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil.

Diversification Opportunities for Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil

-0.24

Correlation Coefficient

Gasoline RBOB  Heating Oil

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Gasoline and Heating is -0.24. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Heating Oil and Gasoline RBOB is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Gasoline RBOB are associated (or correlated) with Heating Oil. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Heating Oil has no effect on the direction of Gasoline RBOB i.e., Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil

Assuming the 90 days horizon Gasoline RBOB is expected to generate 1.45 times more return on investment than Heating Oil. However, Gasoline RBOB is 1.45 times more volatile than Heating Oil. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Heating Oil is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  199.00  in Gasoline RBOB on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  25.00  from holding Gasoline RBOB or generate 12.56% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Against
Strength	Insignificant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Gasoline RBOB  vs.  Heating Oil

Gasoline RBOB

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gasoline RBOB are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Gasoline RBOB exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Heating Oil

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Heating Oil has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Heating Oil is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Pair Trading with Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil

The main advantage of trading using opposite Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Gasoline RBOB position performs unexpectedly, Heating Oil can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Heating Oil will offset losses from the drop in Heating Oil's long position.

The idea behind Gasoline RBOB and Heating Oil pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.