Correlation Between ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares Ultra QQQ and Direxion Daily Transportation, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares Ultra with a short position of Direxion Daily. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

0.89
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and Direxion is 0.89. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares Ultra QQQ and Direxion Daily Transportation in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Daily Trans and ProShares Ultra is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares Ultra QQQ are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Daily. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Daily Trans has no effect on the direction of ProShares Ultra i.e., ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Ultra QQQ is expected to under-perform the Direxion Daily. But the etf apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, ProShares Ultra QQQ is 1.31 times less risky than Direxion Daily. The etf trades about -0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Direxion Daily Transportation is currently generating about -0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,940  in Direxion Daily Transportation on December 30, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (603.00) from holding Direxion Daily Transportation or give up 20.51% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares Ultra QQQ  vs.  Direxion Daily Transportation

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares Ultra QQQ 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra QQQ has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Etf's essential indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.
Direxion Daily Trans 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Direxion Daily Transportation has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with conflicting performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the ETF retail investors.

ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares Ultra and Direxion Daily positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares Ultra position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Daily can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Daily will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Daily's long position.
The idea behind ProShares Ultra QQQ and Direxion Daily Transportation pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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