Correlation Between TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in TFS FINANCIAL with a short position of National Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between TFS and National is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bank Holdings and TFS FINANCIAL is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on TFS FINANCIAL are associated (or correlated) with National Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bank Holdings has no effect on the direction of TFS FINANCIAL i.e., TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TFS FINANCIAL is expected to generate 1.42 times less return on investment than National Bank. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, TFS FINANCIAL is 1.42 times less risky than National Bank. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bank Holdings is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  3,635  in National Bank Holdings on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  745.00  from holding National Bank Holdings or generate 20.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

TFS FINANCIAL  vs.  National Bank Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
TFS FINANCIAL 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TFS FINANCIAL are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain basic indicators, TFS FINANCIAL exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bank Holdings are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, National Bank reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if TFS FINANCIAL position performs unexpectedly, National Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bank will offset losses from the drop in National Bank's long position.
The idea behind TFS FINANCIAL and National Bank Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

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