Correlation Between Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bank Negara Indonesia and Preferred Commerce, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bank Negara with a short position of Preferred Commerce. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce.

Diversification Opportunities for Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce

-0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Bank and Preferred is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bank Negara Indonesia and Preferred Commerce in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Preferred Commerce and Bank Negara is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bank Negara Indonesia are associated (or correlated) with Preferred Commerce. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Preferred Commerce has no effect on the direction of Bank Negara i.e., Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce

Assuming the 90 days horizon Bank Negara Indonesia is expected to under-perform the Preferred Commerce. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Bank Negara Indonesia is 4.09 times less risky than Preferred Commerce. The pink sheet trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Preferred Commerce is currently generating about 0.39 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  134.00  in Preferred Commerce on September 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  214.00  from holding Preferred Commerce or generate 159.7% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bank Negara Indonesia  vs.  Preferred Commerce

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bank Negara Indonesia 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Bank Negara Indonesia has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors.
Preferred Commerce 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

32 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Preferred Commerce are ranked lower than 32 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly conflicting essential indicators, Preferred Commerce showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bank Negara and Preferred Commerce positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bank Negara position performs unexpectedly, Preferred Commerce can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Preferred Commerce will offset losses from the drop in Preferred Commerce's long position.
The idea behind Bank Negara Indonesia and Preferred Commerce pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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